Browsing by Subject "Cointegration"
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ItemThe relationships of financial assets in financial markets during recovery period and financial crisis : evidence from Thailand(Assumption University, 2013) Atinuch Kusolpalalert ; Assumption University. Martin de Tours School of Management and EconomicsThe aim of this paper is to examine the long run relationship between SET index, gold price, 1- year, 2-year, and 10-year Government Bond Yield (GB), and 1-month and 3-month T-bill rate in Thai's financial market for the period between March 2001-December 2010 using Johansen method and to study their short-run adjustment through the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) in order to find the speed of adjustment towards long run equilibrium. Moreover, this paper also tests the impact on each variable resulting from the changes in other variables by using Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition Test. Results found that during economic recovery period, SET index has positive rela- tionship with gold price, 2-year GB yield, and 3-month T-bill rate. Meanwhile, during economic crisis, SET index has a positive relationship with gold price, 1-year, 10-year GB yields, and 3-month T-bill rate. The Vector Error Correction model indicated that in the recovery period SET index rapidly adjust itself back to equilibrium after deviating from long run path, while during crisis period 1-year GB yield is the fastest in adjusting back to long run equilibrium. Moreover, the Impulse Response Function presented that SET index is significantly affected by the shock of itself which is consistent with the Variance Decomposition Test which indicates that the variation of SET index is mainly due to the change ofitself during the recovery period; while during crisis, SET index has a positive response to the shock of itself. Variance Decomposition Test reported that 98.95% of variation of SET index can be explained by its own changes.